Transmission and capacity expansion planning against rising temperatures: A case study in Arizona

J. Kyle Skolfield, Adolfo R. Escobedo, Jose RamirezVergara

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Scopus citations


The stable and efficient operation of the transmission network is fundamental to the power system's ability to deliver electricity reliably and cheaply. As average temperatures continue to rise, the ability of the transmission network to meet demand is diminished. Higher temperatures lead to congestion by reducing thermal limits of lines while simultaneously reducing generation potential. Due to prohibitive costs and limited real estate for building new lines, it is necessary to consider capacity expansion as well to improve the functioning and efficiency of the grid. Optimal control, however, requires many discrete choices, rendering fully accurate models intractable. Furthermore, temperature changes will impact different regions and climate differently. As such, it is necessary to model both temperature changes and transmission flows with high spatial resolution. This work proposes a case study of the transmission grid centered in Arizona, using a DC optimal power flow mathematical formulation to plan for future transmission expansion and capacity expansion to efficiently meet demand. The effects of rising temperatures on transmission and generation are modeled at the regional level. Several classes of valid inequalities are employed to speed up the solution process. Multiple experiments considering different temperature and demand trends are considered which include each of the above technologies.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationIISE Annual Conference and Expo 2021
EditorsA. Ghate, K. Krishnaiyer, K. Paynabar
PublisherInstitute of Industrial and Systems Engineers, IISE
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781713838470
StatePublished - 2021
EventIISE Annual Conference and Expo 2021 - Virtual, Online
Duration: May 22 2021May 25 2021

Publication series

NameIISE Annual Conference and Expo 2021


ConferenceIISE Annual Conference and Expo 2021
CityVirtual, Online


  • Energy systems
  • Mathematical programming
  • Optimization
  • Transmission expansion planning
  • Valid inequalities

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering


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