Trajectory analysis of central Sonoran Desert dust storms

Dust storms are a major cause of central Sonoran Desert weather fatalities. Through back-trajectory analysis of North American Monsoon dust storms in central Sonoran Desert of the United States. This study is specific to central Arizona (USA) from 2009 to 2022 using the HYSPLIT model. Our findings have shown that dust storms originate from southerly or near-southerly regions. The dust storms displaying the highest concentrations of particulates show a preference to originate from the southwest. This coincides with the development of a 500 hPa ridge to the east of the study area. The highest concentration storms’ back-trajectories display the lowest heights above the ground. Given their southwestern origin, these storms travel upslope along the seasonally dry river beds of the Gila River and its tributaries. Weaker dust storms originate over a wider area with a shift to a southerly direction. Such origination indicates that weaker dust storms are traveling downslope through the washes and channels of the dry Santa Cruz River. As dust concentrations drop, storm direction drifts east and dust height is suspended higher. This paper highlights the spatial variations in central Arizona dust storms, showing the likeliest paths of the strongest events and assists in identifying aeolian dust origins.