The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Fred Brauer

doi:10.1007/s11538-018-00549-x

The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Fred Brauer

Mathematical Computational Modeling Sciences Center, Simon A. Levin (MCMSC)

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

27 Scopus citations

Abstract

In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	869-877
Number of pages	9
Journal	Bulletin of mathematical biology
Volume	81
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11538-018-00549-x
State	Published - Mar 15 2019

Keywords

Behavioral response
Epidemic models
Final size relations

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General Neuroscience
Immunology
General Mathematics
General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
General Environmental Science
Pharmacology
General Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Computational Theory and Mathematics

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10.1007/s11538-018-00549-x

Cite this

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The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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