Abstract
In this work, we investigate sequential Bayesian estimation for inference of stochastic volatility with variance-gamma (SVVG) jumps in returns. We develop an estimation algorithm that combines the sequential learning auxiliary particle filter with the particle learning filter. Simulation evidence and empirical estimation results indicate that this approach is able to filter latent variances, identify latent jumps in returns, and provide sequential learning about the static parameters of SVVG. We demonstrate comparative performance of the sequential algorithm and off-line Markov Chain Monte Carlo in synthetic and real data applications.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 460-479 |
Number of pages | 20 |
Journal | Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry |
Volume | 34 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs |
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State | Published - Jul 1 2018 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Bayesian learning
- auxiliary particle filtering
- sequential Monte Carlo
- stochastic volatility
- variance gamma
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Modeling and Simulation
- Business, Management and Accounting(all)
- Management Science and Operations Research