Risk factors for forced migrant flight

Jacqueline H. Rubin, Will H. Moore

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

21 Scopus citations


An important type of medical study seeks to establish the risk factors for contracting various diseases. A similar, but very small, vein of research exists in peace and conflict studies, and we seek to contribute to it. Our study evaluates whether variables shown to explain variance in numbers of forced migrants can serve as risk factors that might aid contingency planning for such humanitarian crises. We study a cross-national sample of cases over the period from 1985 through 1994. Our findings indicate that annual, country-level indicators of civil war, a forced migrant episode, and human rights violations are candidate risk factors for forced migration in the following year. Interestingly, when using country-years as the unit of observation genocide is not a useful risk factor for forced migration.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)85-104
Number of pages20
JournalConflict Management and Peace Science
Issue number2
StatePublished - Jun 2007
Externally publishedYes


  • Early warning
  • Forced migration
  • Refugees

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Political Science and International Relations


Dive into the research topics of 'Risk factors for forced migrant flight'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this