Pricing uncertainty induced by climate change

Michael Barnett, William Brock, Lars Peter Hansen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

89 Scopus citations


Geophysicists examine and document the repercussions for the earth's climate induced by alternative emission scenarios and model specifications. Using simplified approximations, they produce tractable characterizations of the associated uncertainty. Meanwhile, economists write highly stylized damage functions to speculate about how climate change alters macroeconomic and growth opportunities. How can we assess both climate and emissions impacts, as well as uncertainty in the broadest sense, in social decision-making? We provide a framework for answering this question by embracing recent decision theory and tools from asset pricing, and we apply this structure with its interacting components to a revealing quantitative illustration.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1024-1066
Number of pages43
JournalReview of Financial Studies
Issue number3
StatePublished - Mar 1 2020

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics


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