Future locations prediction with uncertain data

Disheng Qiu, Paolo Papotti, Lorenzo Blanco

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

15 Scopus citations


The ability to predict future movements for moving objects enables better decisions in terms of time, cost, and impact on the environment. Unfortunately, future location prediction is a challenging task. Existing works exploit techniques to predict a trip destination, but they are effective only when location data are precise (e.g., GPS data) and movements are observed over long periods of time (e.g., weeks). We introduce a data mining approach based on a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that overcomes these limits and improves existing results in terms of precision of the prediction, for both the route (i.e., trajectory) and the final destination. The model is resistant to uncertain location data, as it works with data collected by using cell-towers to localize the users instead of GPS devices, and reaches good prediction results in shorter times (days instead of weeks in a representative real-world application). Finally, we introduce an enhanced version of the model that is orders of magnitude faster than the standard HMM implementation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationMachine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases - European Conference, ECML PKDD 2013, Proceedings
Number of pages16
EditionPART 1
StatePublished - 2013
EventEuropean Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, ECML PKDD 2013 - Prague, Czech Republic
Duration: Sep 23 2013Sep 27 2013

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
NumberPART 1
Volume8188 LNAI
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349


OtherEuropean Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, ECML PKDD 2013
Country/TerritoryCzech Republic

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • General Computer Science


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