Fear of persecution: Forced migration, 1952-1995

Will H. Moore, Stephen M. Shellman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

176 Scopus citations


Why would people abandon their homes in favor of an uncertain life elsewhere? The short answer, of course, is violence. More specifically, the authors contend that people monitor the violent behavior of both the government and dissidents and assess the threat such behavior poses to their lives, physical person, and liberty. The greater the threat posed by the behavior of the government and dissidents, the larger the number of forced migrants a country will produce. To test hypotheses drawn from this argument the authors use a global sample of countries over more than forty years. Their findings are held to be consistent with their argument, showing that violent behavior has a substantially larger impact on forced migration than variables such as the type of political institution or the average size of the economy.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)723-745
Number of pages23
JournalJournal of Conflict Resolution
Issue number5
StatePublished - Oct 2004


  • Forced migration
  • Internally displaced persons
  • Refugees

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Business, Management and Accounting(all)
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Political Science and International Relations


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