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Using Bayesian networks to model watershed management decisions: An East Canyon Creek case study

  • Daniel P. Ames
  • , Bethany T. Neilson
  • , David K. Stevens
  • , Upmanu Lall

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

An approach to developing and using Bayesian networks to model watershed management decisions is presented with a case study application to phosphorus management in the East Canyon watershed in Northern Utah, USA. The Bayesian network analysis includes a graphical model of the key variables in the system and conditional and marginal probability distributions derived from a variety of data and information sources. The resulting model is used to 1) estimate the probability of meeting legal water quality requirements for phosphorus in East Canyon Creek under several management scenarios and 2) estimate the probability of increased recreational use of East Canyon Reservoir and subsequent revenue under these scenarios.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)267-282
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Hydroinformatics
Volume7
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2005
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Bayesian networks
  • Water quality modeling
  • Watershed decision support

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Water Science and Technology
  • Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology
  • Atmospheric Science

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