Persistence of labor share fluctuations and overshooting

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Workhorse business cycle models struggle to explain the magnitude and persistence of cyclical fluctuations in the labor share of output and employment in the United States. A model with search frictions in the labor market and a technology choice addresses this shortcoming. In this model, the production technology is a constant elasticity of substitution (CES) in the short run, while it converges to Cobb-Douglas in the long run. We calibrate the model using U.S. data and find that the inclusion of a technology choice with adjustment costs significantly enhances the model's ability to propagate productivity shocks, compared to a model with a fixed Cobb-Douglas technology. The calibrated model successfully replicates the overshooting of the labor share in the data.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number105184
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume180
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2025

Keywords

  • Employment
  • Factor-augmenting technical change
  • Labor share
  • Search frictions
  • Technology choice

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Control and Optimization
  • Applied Mathematics

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