Improved risk and reliability model for hydraulic structures

Han‐Lin ‐L Lee; Larry W. Mays

doi:10.1029/WR019i006p01415

Improved risk and reliability model for hydraulic structures

Han‐Lin ‐L Lee, Larry W. Mays

Arizona State University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

Improved dynamic risk and reliability models based upon conditional probability distributions are developed. The new dynamic risk model is shown to reflect more accurately the overall risk (probability of failure considering both hydrologic and hydraulic uncertainties) of a hydraulic structure. This dynamic risk model is also shown to have a close correspondence to nonparametric methods for evaluating the exceedance probability of a hydrologic event.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	1415-1422
Number of pages	8
Journal	Water Resources Research
Volume	19
Issue number	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1029/WR019i006p01415
State	Published - Dec 1983

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Water Science and Technology

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10.1029/WR019i006p01415

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title = "Improved risk and reliability model for hydraulic structures",

abstract = "Improved dynamic risk and reliability models based upon conditional probability distributions are developed. The new dynamic risk model is shown to reflect more accurately the overall risk (probability of failure considering both hydrologic and hydraulic uncertainties) of a hydraulic structure. This dynamic risk model is also shown to have a close correspondence to nonparametric methods for evaluating the exceedance probability of a hydrologic event.",

author = "Lee, {Han‐Lin ‐L} and Mays, {Larry W.}",

year = "1983",

month = dec,

doi = "10.1029/WR019i006p01415",

language = "English (US)",

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AU - Lee, Han‐Lin ‐L

AU - Mays, Larry W.

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N2 - Improved dynamic risk and reliability models based upon conditional probability distributions are developed. The new dynamic risk model is shown to reflect more accurately the overall risk (probability of failure considering both hydrologic and hydraulic uncertainties) of a hydraulic structure. This dynamic risk model is also shown to have a close correspondence to nonparametric methods for evaluating the exceedance probability of a hydrologic event.

AB - Improved dynamic risk and reliability models based upon conditional probability distributions are developed. The new dynamic risk model is shown to reflect more accurately the overall risk (probability of failure considering both hydrologic and hydraulic uncertainties) of a hydraulic structure. This dynamic risk model is also shown to have a close correspondence to nonparametric methods for evaluating the exceedance probability of a hydrologic event.

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U2 - 10.1029/WR019i006p01415

DO - 10.1029/WR019i006p01415

M3 - Article

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SP - 1415

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JO - Water Resources Research

JF - Water Resources Research

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Improved risk and reliability model for hydraulic structures

Abstract

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